The 2012 Kentucky is such a wide open race that it is very hard to pick the winner let alone the trifecta. I am omitting Creative Cause and Hansen from my ticket. I believe that Creative Cause has hoof problems and that his training has been compromised. He walked the shedrow a couple of days after his last work and then he skipped a scheduled visit to the paddock for schooling. Hansen is not going to be able to go the full distance considering the contentious pace that should happen. Hansen will be in it until the top of the stretch and then he will fade. After seeing the track clearly play to the benefit of the early pace setters on Oaks Day, my faith in Bodemeister has been renewed. I believe he will sit behind Trinniberg and that will allow him to relax a bit and take over the lead as the rabbit(s) fade. I believe that Union Rags is the best horse in the race and is in peek condition. Dullahan has never run a bad race and could pick up the pieces, although yesterday’s racing strip has me concerned about his chances of coming from that far behind.

Here is my 50¢ trifecta ticket that keys Union Rags and Bodemeister on top of a whole bunch of horses for a mere $56.