Breeders’ Cup 2011 Selections

My selections for Breeders’ Cup 2011 focus on the three Pick 4 wagers.  On Friday the Pick 4 begins with the Filly/Mare Sprint and runs through the Ladies Classic. Saturday there are two Pick 4 bets that run back to back skipping the Marathon.

FRIDAY

Juvenile Sprint – Secret CircleBreeders’ Cup 2011 starts off with a single.  I can’t bet against Baffert in a sprint with a two year-old.  This race is the last leg of the 50¢ Pick 5.

Juvenile Filly Turf – Elusive Kate If the Euros are that much better on the turf than our horses then Elusive Kate is the best in this race. Somali Lemonade, Stopshoppingmaria, Stephanie’s Kitten, and Dear Lavinia can’t be dimissed.

Pick 4

Filly & Mare Sprint – Turbulent Descentis my top choice but I will use Pomeroys Pistol as an “A” in the first leg of the Pick 4. Great Hot and Her Smile are backups.

Juvenile Fillies – My Miss AureliaI realize that I am quite chalky to start but it is what it is. Grace Hall and Weemissfrankie will be considered top choices on my Pick 4 ticket.  I will back those three up with Miss Netta and Awesome Belle.

Filly & Mare Turf – Nahrain – Now I am off the favorite here with this undefeated Euro monster.  Potential WPS bet if above 5-2. Nahrain will be the only “A” in this leg of the Pick 4.  Announce, Misty For Me, and Stacelita will be use as “B”s.

Ladies’ Classic – Royal DeltaThe word is that Royal Delta has been training up to the BC better than anyone in any race. Miss Match and Plum Pretty have a place in the Pick 4.

SATURDAY

Marathon – Eldaafer The Monmouth based runner has been aimed all season for this race that he won last year.  He blazed in his last work at the Shore.  This one will be a great price and should be bet WPS.

Early Pick 4
Juvenile Turf – Animal Spiritsgets my nod at 8-1 and should be a WPS bet. Stall knows how to win the big one.  Finale and State of Play will be top choices in the early Pick 4.  Fantastic Song and Lucky Chappy will be used in the Pick 4 as backups.

Sprint – Amazombie – This horse was my Best Bet of the Day until Jackson Bend opted for the Sprint, but I will leave him as my top choice.  I will use Jackson Bend and Euroears as “A”s in the Pick 4.

Turf Sprint – HavelockLove his last race and he knows how to win these short sprints. Hoofit and Regally Ready will be used in leg 3 of this Pick 4.

Dirt Mile – Caleb’s PosseThe Indiana Derby was not the goal for this horse.  Two turns is not his thing.  The one turn mile will suit him perfectly.  Wilburn will be included on my multi-race tickets.

Late Pick 4

Turf – Sea MoonThis one has never run a bad race even with a horrible trip last time and he is trained by the master of this race Michael Stoute.  As the Late Pick 4 starts I have to include Sarafina, Await the Dawn, and Midday.

Juvenile – Union Rags I love the horsemanship of Michael Matz and this horse has been so impressive.  Only other horse I will include is longshot Fort Loudon.  Didn’t a 2YO filly from Calder win big last year?

Mile – TurallureLeparoux on the Kentucky turf with a horse that has run two great races. Of course I will be routing for Goldikova to win her fourth.

Classic – Flat OutThis Monmouth Park runner has been so tough and so determined to win. It feels like everything is aligning for this horse.  I think the mile and a quarter is not the best distance for Havre de Grace and Uncle MoYou all know how much I like Mo.  I will use both of them on my Pick 4 ticket along with Stay Thirsty, So You Think, and To Honour and Serve.

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About andyscoggin

Matt Shifman, the man behind AndyScoggin, is a featured blogger covering NYRA and Monmouth Park for HorseRacingNation.com. "Racing at the Jersey Shore" covers the racing scene at Monmouth Park and "A New York State of Racing" will discuss NYRA. Matt votes for the Top 10 Thoroughbreds in the NTRA Polls at www.NTRA/polls.
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